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#ROCKTHEPOLLS: WEAA Politics Master Poll Average, 11.1.16

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Since last Friday’s announcement by FBI Director James Comey that federal investigators were engaged in a renewed search through more Hillary Clinton-linked emails, some polls are showing problematic declines in the Democratic nominee’s support. 

In a two-way match-up, her support has already declined by 1 percentage point according to the WEAA Master Average; the same is the case in a four-way match-up. It will be even more worrisome for Clinton if her support is lower than what we’re seeing now since most polls will have completed assessments of the revived email investigation’s impact. 

To show how dramatic that drop has been since last week, one need only look at Clinton’s Real Clear Politics lead on Oct. 26th which was 5.4 points at the time – now it’s 3.1 points. For Republican nominee Donald Trump, there’s been a 2.4-point rise since Oct. 28th.  The Lunchtime Politics Poll average shows a full 2-point drop since Friday. Still, we won’t have a clearer picture until later in the week. Note: it’s important to watch the four important “battleground” states of Arizona, Colorado, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. As YouGov shows, Clinton maintains leads in three out of four of those states. 

 

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By Charles Ellison, WEAA National Political Correspondent